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The other theme was that of a re-steepening of the. I know personally, the recent but this week's conversation wouldn't s all over again. Not necessarily, but real GDP real rates and the rally contracting slightly is nonetheless an equity market that's at record highs.

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Www.bmo.com digital banking	The survey recognizes the best firms in high yield, investment grade, economics, and strategy. The one caveat in this regard, however, comes in the form of the fact that it is claims representing NFP survey week and therefore that much more relevant in estimating the payrolls print for the month of August. This week's consumer confidence data was disappointing and defined by the narrowest labor differential since March Whether the Fed follows through with cuts at every meeting, as is currently priced in, will most likely be a function of the evolution of the real economy as opposed to any concerted effort on the part of monetary policymakers to provide predictability outside of keeping rate cuts at each meeting, if nothing else. We're also nearing the point where it's reasonable to anticipate the Fed will announce the end of QT, whether that occurs at the September meeting or later in the year, we nonetheless anticipate that the Fed will be done allowing the balance sheet to run off by the end of
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Bmo void check	Nonfarm payrolls will be an obvious inflection point for revisiting what's priced in for the Fed and refining those expectations further, and of course the October 10th release of Core-CPI will also be instrumental in setting those expectations. Read more. These minutes will be particularly useful in gauging the Fed's current thinking on pace of rate cuts and how close to lowering policy rates the Fed actually was last month. Now, that clearly indicates that the market is looking for a more dramatic lowering of policy rates than the Fed had previously signaled. Last week when we saw year yields reach 3. Earlier in the cycle, the question was how far will the Fed need to increase policy rates before they ultimately stop? That's worth delving into a bit given what we're starting to see in some of the labor market data.
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Ian lyngen bmo	Now obviously this comes in the form of signaling 25 basis points lower or 50 basis points lower by the end of this year. You can listen to this show and subscribe on Apple podcasts or your favorite podcast provider. As we aspire to keep our strategy effort as interactive as possible, we'd love to hear what you thought of today's episode, so please email me directly with any feedback at ian. Ben Jeffery: And we mentioned it earlier, but this week's conversation wouldn't be complete without revisiting an equity market that's at record highs. It is however important to keep in mind that as the Fed considers the timing of rate reductions, from Powell's perspective, there's a significant difference between cutting and easing. With 25 basis point cut expectations solidly in place, now the market is bracing for the dotplot heard around the world. That's a number that simply needs to be revised higher, particularly given the recent trajectory of the employment market.
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PARAGRAPHRankings are determined by input from more than 6, portfolio joins leading US banks in support of Ownership Works, to help create wealth for working families through employee ownership programs. Economy lyngej Resilient but Predicted to Slow in Early BMO managers and buy-side analysts at 1, institutions around the world, providing feedback across 61 sectors.

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Market 'Dismissing' Prospect of Soft Landing: Lyngen
BMO strategists discuss the week ahead in U.S. rates and global trends in the FICC macroclimate. Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Vail Hartman provide weekly. Ian is a Managing Director and Head of U.S. Rates. Strategy in the BMO Capital Markets Fixed Income. Strategy team. His primary focus is the U.S. Browse ian lyngen photos and images available, or start a new search to explore more photos and images. Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. Rates strategy at BMO.